Unraveling the Fantasy Baseball Game: Opportunities and Insights

A Closer Look at Coors Field

Typically, the opening section of this piece is dedicated to an in-depth analysis of a pitcher scheduled to take the mound. However, today’s spotlight shines on a unique scheduling feature. Starting with a series against the Chicago Cubs, the Colorado Rockies will play 12 out of their last 15 games at home.

It is well-known that Coors Field is the most hitter-friendly environment in the league. Many attribute this to an inflation of home runs due to the high altitude, but contrary to popular belief, there are parks that yield more home runs. Coors Field leads in hitting due to its expansive outfield, resulting in an above-average fly ball BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play).

Fenway Park typically leads the league in fly ball BABIP, thanks to the Green Monster. Coors Field follows closely behind, but unlike Fenway, it does not suppress home runs. The combination of more home runs and more hits is the driving force behind its high offense.

Generally, factors such as the strength of the respective offenses and pitching take precedence over park factors. However, exceptions are made for extremes, and Coors Field certainly qualifies.

Colorado Rockies: A Gold Mine for Fantasy Baseball

Reserving a Rockies player now means they are available for 80% of the Rockies’ remaining games. Unlike previous seasons where only fringe players were available, this year offers a more promising scenario.

Currently, the only Rockies player rostered in more than half of ESPN leagues is Brenton Doyle, with a rostership of 51%. Doyle’s defense secures him a spot in the lineup daily, and his offensive breakout gives him a genuine shot at 25 HR and 30 SB.

Another player to consider is SS Ezequiel Tovar (26.6% rostered). Tovar has also had a breakthrough year, albeit without the steals provided by Doyle. Tovar has surprisingly performed better on the road, although this may just be statistical noise. His consistent position at the top of the order makes him a viable fantasy choice.

Despite traditionally fairing better against right-handers, left-handed swinger Ryan McMahon (43.1% rostered) has demonstrated slight reverse splits, ensuring his regular presence in the lineup. His dual eligibility proves particularly beneficial as the season winds down.

For those seeking a last-minute boost, OF Nolan Jones (32.1%) is worth considering. Despite a promising top-50 fantasy player ranking at the beginning of the season, Jones has been a letdown due to recurring injuries. However, he’s now healthy and has just over two weeks to showcase the skills that led to 20 homers and 20 steals in 2023.